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Thursday, October 29, 2009

Elliott Wave

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In the 1930s, Ralph Nelson Elliott, an accountant firm beroepsgroep, een studied price movements in financial markets and observeren some motieven repeat het. He offered proof of his discovery by making predictions of the stock markets astonishing accuracy. What appears random and non beroept zich, een said Mr. Elliott, who take a recognizable pattern traced once you discover what you are looking for. Elliott called his "discovery" of Elliott Wave Principle "and its impact was tremendous. He identifies the common link that drives the trends in human affairs, from financial markets to fashion, from politics to popular cultuur.

Robert Prechter, Jr., president of Elliott Wave International, een resurrected the Wave Principle from near obscurity in 1976 when it was the discovery of RN Elliott complete body work at the New York Public Library. Robert Prechter, Jr. and AJ Frost, een publishes Elliott Waves to 1978. Een The book received enthusiastic reviews and became a best-seller on Wall Street. Ik Elliott Wave Principle, Prechter and Frost's forecast, een called to the roaring bull market in the 1980s, followed by a record bear market. Needless to say, knowledge of the Wave Principle among private and professional investors een dramatisch dramatically in the 1980s.

When investors and traders first discover the Elliott Wave Principle, there are several reacties:

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Disbelief - that markets are largely patterned and predictable by the single analyseren techniek
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Happy "uitbundigheid irrational" - have found a "crystal ball" to predict the future
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And finally, the correct answer, and useful - "Wow, This is another tool I should learn to use."

Like any system or structure of nature, the more you watch the waves of the structured, more complexity you see. It is structuur, because the patterns of nature rely on themselves, of CREATING formesa similar to progressively larger sizes. You can see these fractal patterns in botany, geography, physiology, humans and create things like roads, residential development ... and - as recent discoveries have confirmed - in market prices.

Natural systems, including bosses Vaag Elliott in the graphics market, "grow" over time, and formesa are defined by onderbrekingen to this growth.

Here's what he meant by that. When your hands have formed in the womb, they first turn as betrekking paddles growing equally in all directions. Then, in the places between your fingers, the cells grow or are dead Stop, and growth was directed toward five figures. The progress and regression structuur is essential to all formesa growth. What "punctuated growth" appears in market data is natural - as Robert Prechter, Jr., The World's foremost Elliott professional Vaag and president of Elliott Wave International, says: "Everything that grows must have Reverse .

Basic Elliott Wave PatternThe first step in Elliott wave analyseren is identificatie structures of market prices. Een their base, the waves are simple, there are only two of them, "Shock Waves" and "Waves correctieven."

Shock waves are composed of five sub-waves and move in the zij same direction as the trend of the larger size closest (label as 1, 2, 3, 4, 5). Shock waves and because they are called the strongly growing market.

A Vaag corrigerende following consists of three sub-waves, and it moves against the trend of the larger size closest (label as a, b, c). Waves correctieven perform only partial retracement, or "correct" the progress realized by Vaag previous pulse.

As the chart at right shows, one complete Elliott wave consists of eight waves and two fasen: Fase five impulsen wave, whose sub-waves are designated by numbers and phase three Waves correctieven, whose sub-waves reported are letters.

What RN Elliott set out to describe using the Elliott Wave Principle was how the market has in reality het. There are a number of specific variations on the underlying theme, which Elliott meticulously described and distinguished. He also notes that each model is belangrijk to identifiable needs and trends. From these observations, it has been able to formulate numerous rules and guidelines for the appropriate wave identificatie. A thorough knowledge of these details is necessary to understand what steps can be done, and at least as belangrijk, ze zijn he does not.

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